Feb 202016
 
  • Media Buzz videos: wins SC; wins NV; Jeb’s
  • Reliable Sources videos: Election results; polls vs votes; Erik Wemple.
  • Feldman: Chris Wallace calls out Hillary for ducking Fox News Sunday.
  • Video:: on Jeb’s exit from the race.
  • Concha: Long-form interviews are the latest cable news ‘thing’.
  • Saturday coverage: Fox News, MSNBC; Scalia funeral.  Sunday talkers.
  • Dylan Ratigan resurfaces; Charles Bierbauer also.  Q&A: Rachel Maddow.
  • Your Buzz videos: Trump Marco
  • Michael T

    Did anyone watch the Kelly File Friday night and her interview with a feisty and somewhat angry Jeb Bush?

    A little background. Before the NH primary I had commented that recent interviews with Chris Christie showed a candidate whose on-camera persona showed a borderline defeated man who knew (perhaps due to internal polling) knew the end was near — which it was.

    I sensed the same thing with a clearly dispirited Jeb during his interview by Megyn. I strongly suspect he knows he can finish no better than 4th and perhaps even finish 5th.

    When Megyn asked him about the late Friday report report at Politico that some of his staff was already floating their resumes Jeb’s jaws cliched as he lashed out at Politico as “pure trash.”

    • homemaker

      I saw that,too. I think he’s a nice man, did good things for Florida as Gov but it is time for him to go away after this. He will be able to find plenty of other work. Though, I have a hard time seeing him campaign for anyone that moves forward except Kasich. He’s been too vitriolic to the others.

      • gc

        sad, and sadder still, we will likely end up with someone particularly worse than most of the drop outs.

        • Nixon – niihpikiiookani

          I have always thought that Gilbert Gottfried would make a great president.

          • Marty

            You get what you vote for. Be it Gilbert Gottfried or Elmer Gantry.

          • gc

            but you cannot vote for good people when exactly none make the finals. worse or worser is a pretty common choice.

          • Marty

            You are correct. But I can choose not to vote, cast a contrarian vote, or do a write in vote.

          • gc

            which will give an extra vote to the person you hate most. honestly, i think our cake is baked, and there is no longer a way out, just a discussion on to go directly to infierno or take the scenic route.

          • Marty

            It ain’t over til it’s over. Thanks, Yogi. Words to live by.

          • gc

            words to die before the end by.

          • Nixon – niihpikiiookani

            We do have Eustus Haney in the race.

  • Grandpa D

    “Long-form Interviews” – Is there any hope this trend might continue past November 8th? I’d look forward to that, where interviewees have to give more than just their talking points.

  • Cecelia

    Until I got in on the Internet, I thought this guy’s sensibilities came with xy chromosomes.

    http://www.littlethings.com/southern-like-molasses/

    I understand why so many women on many college campuses and at many workplaces and such, consider themselves to victims of abuse and bullying. They probably are.

    The Internet will make a feminist out of you.

  • gc

    the Dylan Ratigan link for me goes to a guy i never read. for accuracy please delete the 4 times i went there from your privileged info daily popularity survey.

    • And I almost went an entire day without messing up a link. Fear not, we’ll be able to filter out the hits that went awry when we compile our highly awaited link stats.

      • gc

        no way? i was not wrong? i was doing it right? not used to this here.

  • There’s already some blowback at CNN for talking over the funeral mass, hymns, etc, instead of just airing the service. FNC has remained silent (don’t know what MS did) though I can see merit in both approaches.

    • sky303

      makes me think CNN does things, so people will talk about them… even if it’s when they do something dumb

    • Nixon – niihpikiiookani

      The fools at CNN have no concept of showing respect for anyone or anything, God included.

  • Michael T

    Did FiveThiryEight get another one right?

    I know Nate Silver hasn’t always been that popular here at J$P, but if current numbers hold (4% lead), Hillary Clinton may win in Nevada.

    Silver had her odds of winning at 71% (not percentage of votes) while most in cable news were constantly talking about Bernie surging and posing a real possibility of derailing her candidacy.

    It hasn’t been called. So it ain’t over yet.

    • It was called for Hillary on Fox about 25 minutes ago (right around 5:02 pm).

      • Michael T

        Looks like FNC may have beaten CNN by about 25 minutes. That’s quite a margin.

    • Cecelia

      I had to google Nate Silver.

      • Michael T

        He hasn’t been talked about much lately with pollsters getting most of the attention.

        But back in 2012, when he was still at the NY Times, he was quite the villain in many quarters of the GOP for his less optimistic forecast than most Republican strategists regarding Romney’s chances.

        • Cecelia

          Well, why would you assume he was of any concern here?

          • Michael T

            Mainly because he was a bit of an outlier with his rather optimistic prediction for Clinton.

          • Cecelia

            That makes “I know Nate Silver hasn’t always been popular here at J$P…” laying it on thick, ombré.

          • Michael T

            Thick?

            Really? Do I have to go back to the fall of 2012 comment archives to prove my point — I ask rhetorically. 🙂

            Sounds like you’re wearing your contrarian hat today CC.

            Peace sista.

          • Cecelia

            Yeah, you do need to go back to archive of 2012, Bro.

          • Michael T

            Now your argumentative ways are starting to annoy me.

            Let it go. This argument is petty.

            Geez.

          • Cecelia

            Oh, well…

          • Michael T

            Oh well indeed.

            I liked it better when we argued over whether Bob Somerby was obsessed with Rachel Maddow. [wry smile]

          • Cecelia

            Well, you certainly acted less of a poussay then.

          • Michael T

            Your imagination is impressive.

          • Cecelia

            Well, if you differ on that…

          • Cecelia

            You’ve edited this.

          • gc

            no need. just ask me. Nate Silver when with the times was discussed here often. he was then a topic as he started his 538 deal. his calculations have been dissected here multiple times or i would not be able to remember …. trust me on that one girlfriend.

          • Cecelia

            Trust, but verify, Where are they?

          • gc

            in the archives of my mind and to the upper right in search.

          • Cecelia

            The hallucinogens of your mind.

          • gc

            pretty reliable.

          • Cecelia

            Michael. I know conservatives haven’t generally been popular with you, but don’t try to tweek us in such a passive aggressive way.

            Just come right out front with it, Bro.

          • Michael T

            In the interest of civility I am going to let that totally bogus statement go unanswered.

          • Cecelia

            I doubt anyone here is insisting on our obeisance to civility.

          • Michael T

            Yeah, they’re more likely to be scratching their collective heads wondering, “Why are those two arguing about such trivial matters?”

            You like to argue. I don’t. It’s really that simple.

            Finis.

          • Cecelia

            I like to debate for sure, but I wouldnt classify this as a debate or even an argument.

            Consider it a confrontation.

      • gc

        seriously? he has been quite the quantitative methods fad for a few years now. he even does Nicaragua. of course the only way Ortega does not win in November is by dying ……heck he still might win even if he is a stiff.

  • Michael T

    Funny graphic on CNN.

    In a 3-shot there was a framed video in the upper-left corner from Clinton Headqaurters.

    The text at the bottom of the frame was supposed to read HILLARY HQ.

    But the bottom of the frame clipped off the curly line at the bottom of “Q” making it read “HILLARY HO.”

    Well, I thought it was amsusing at least.

    • gc

      CNN helping her with the African American vote.

    • sky303

      Well it is Nevada ….

  • gc

    RCP shows Jeb below 10%, Fox at 10%. i would say those are withdraw numbers. which, if he does withdraw knocks Cruz out of contention. no Jeb, Carson, Kaisich voters will give Cruz a single vote.

    • Nixon – niihpikiiookani

      He won’t withdraw, he thinks that he deserves the nomination. Fox said that the campaign isn’t even watching the TV coverage. That is going around with your fingers in your ears and saying, “Nah, nah, nah.”

      • gc

        with further returns coming in he is deteriorating and rubio has moved into 2nd. stays that way, jeb is gone. all his staff are looking for work as we speak.

    • Michael T

      BTW, a point of correction.

      Early I said, “An outlier (pollster) called Augusta Chronicle has Trump beating Rubio by only three points.”

      Well, I just saw a tweet from CBS projecting a similar margin (4 points) — but it was over Cruz, not Rubio. Hmmm.

      • gc

        there are 22 to 28 points between jeb, kaisich, and carson to divide between DT, cruz and rubio. those are the important numbers. if SC was running only DT, Cruz and Rubio, Rubio would win. that is in the mind of every single person on every team.

        • Michael T

          On that point, I was surprised to see a national poll this week showing that in a head-to-head matchup Trump loses to both Rubio and Cruz.

          I also saw another poll showing that in head-to-head match-ups with Hillary it was Kasich who had the largest margin of victory.

          • gc

            SC has just chosen the team: Rubio kasich. SC proves neither trump or cruz can win. if the lower candidates were not there trump would be at 35, cruz 25, rubio 40. … and yeah that kasich beating clinton number has been there for months.

  • Marty

    Bush is out.

    • gc

      official or his voters just leave, no diff.

      • Marty

        Official- he’s speaking now. He said he’s out. Thanking his supporters.

        • gc

          really, i get no gringo tv, very cool. good for him.

          • carolr527

            I really liked his speech. I think he’s a good man.

          • gc

            agreed. qualified. un-electable. would cause a loss as a VP choice.

          • Nixon – niihpikiiookani

            Had he showed the grace and class he did tonight during the campaign, and did away with the slash and burn ads, he would’ve done much better.

          • gc

            but never well enough

          • Nixon – niihpikiiookani

            Might’ve did mid teens, which would be enough to keep him in the race until Florida.

          • gc

            which would have only helped cruz and trump neither of which i can stand. i am a happy guy. with these numbers, we can predict the end team Rubio Kasich. book it.

          • Cecelia

            It was like Bush had been cajoled into running and did so reluctantly after being assured of success.

            When it didn’t go that way he got bummed…resentful.

        • Nixon – niihpikiiookani

          I guess he finally got Mommy and Daddy’s permission.

  • gc

    i see in J$ retweet Brit Hume agrees with me

  • gc

    the GCB net calls Rubio as 2nd. at 8:00 CST

  • gc

    cruz fading as posted 7 mins ago.

    • Cecelia

      Wouldn’tCarson’s crew most likely go whole hog with Trump?

      • gc

        no. too much dissonance.

        • Marty

          DT called him a child molester, psychotic, mocked his religion.

          • gc

            more than that, they are just not alike at all. they would avoid each other at a cocktail party.

          • Cecelia

            Trump called Carson a child molester?

          • Nixon – niihpikiiookani

            Compared him to one.

          • Cecelia

            What a moron.

          • Marty

            Yes-correct. Sorry. Said his temper is a sickness like that of a child molester. Has a pathological disease with no cure.

          • gc

            the year 2016’s hula hoop award goes to Donald Trump.

          • Cecelia

            Evidently, Trump has never heard of the word “compulsion”.

          • gc

            Trump is a punk. Nixon is military. what did you do to guys with that sort of personality in the service nix?

          • Marty

            Back in the day they’d have made his life miserable. Today who knows.

          • Nixon – niihpikiiookani

            Had he even made it in, he would’ve quickly weeded out as psychologically unfit.

          • gc

            bingo.

        • Cecelia

          Trump is getting the evangelical vote.

          • gc

            exit poll self ID. stirewalt would not approve. seen any hula hoops lately?

          • Cecelia

            Is that a statement or the hallucinogens?

          • gc

            it is professional market analysis.

          • Cecelia

            That explains it.

          • gc

            it does.

          • Cecelia

            Your enjoyment of being as clear as mud is a sickness…like a child molester…or something…

          • gc

            i get very little enjoyment in politics. it is really so filthy and unworkable and i am very cynical. once in a while there is a quantitative probable measurable end that is not Armegedden and i become happy. tonight’s data is determinative.

          • Cecelia

            I didn’t accuse you of enjoying politics.

          • gc

            ok, i am just enjoying the numbers as i stratify them across the next 10 months. previously there was very little hope.

          • Cecelia

            I’d enjoy the reasoning that you’re enjoying, if you allowed that sort of thing.

          • gc

            i would. my last retainer was $7k a month per dealer, plus production costs with all buys going through me. let me know if that works for ya? lol

          • Cecelia

            Wish the Nicas knew you’re cryptic for free at JD’s.

          • gc

            no encryption. i was as definitive last night as the Oregon ducks. i will reply above to mike and see if it sounds familiar.

          • Marty

            I appreciate your insights. Don’t always understand but I can learn something.

          • gc

            honestly, if we are not going to sell vehicles, don’t trust me too much…lol. joking aside this is the first time the voting will cause significant changes and i think we can see the changes that will come as the numbers are re-dealt logically.

          • gc

            pretty sure Huey Long got the evangelical vote too ….. however in the end …. as Socrates called it, Homeostasis. like seeks like,

          • Nixon – niihpikiiookani

            When Huey was on his deathbed, he never did tell where the “deduct box” was. It contained a large chunk of cash. Every state employee was forced to contribute.

          • gc

            but it would come back 3 fold, just like bernie says.

          • Nixon – niihpikiiookani

            Even Bernie doesn’t believe the crap he says.

          • gc

            well, we could hope that is true, because if it wasn’t he is much more dangerous.

          • Marty

            Sadly, he does. Firmly and with conviction.

          • Nixon – niihpikiiookani

            Then, he’s either barking mad, or an honest to God Communist. Marx, Lenin, Stalin and the whole shebang.

          • Marty

            Lindsey Graham said Bernie went to the Soviet Union on his honeymoon and never came back.

          • Nixon – niihpikiiookani

            Bernie’s mind never did, that’s for sure.

          • Cecelia

            Ha!

          • Cecelia

            I do like the “honest to God” part with Sanders.

            What you see is what you get.

          • Larry Kelly

            Yep, a true believer. Nice to see one in the mix even if I think socialism a Ponzi scheme. The ol’ boy has some honest charm, and that’s rarer than hens teeth too.

          • Nixon – niihpikiiookani
  • Marty

    Good heavens. AB Stoddard talking up Rubio strengths. Fox haters will be apoplectic. Or more so than usual.

    • gc

      not sure what she is saying, but if it is about elect-ability she is spot on.

      • Marty

        His showing in this primary. Fewer people in the race, etc….

  • gc

    at 8:27 GCB net cites there are not enough votes uncounted, 17%, for cruz to take 2nd. it is done.

  • gc

    was fun following it all. gotta go hack a Serbian ESPN feed of the Or vs Or state game. nite

  • Michael T

    My DVR is still behind real-time, so perhaps things will change.

    Consider this:
    FNC on-screen graphic shows Trump up by 12.2%.
    RCP average had Trump up by 13%.

    Yet Megyn is arguing with Juan Williams that Trump failed to meet expectations.

    Huh? smh

    • gc

      that is like arguing about something that has already been flushed. the numbers last night prove conclusively that neither trump or cruz can win, now forget last night. each proximate primary will have to be factored completely differently. no one is the same when the competition changes. Jeb just gave his points to Rubio. trump and cruz added zero and they have reached their peak. book it. i laughed when Huck and Gingrich thought they had a prayer. niche candidates do not win. where are additional cruz and trump candidates going to come from? fairy dust?

      in other good news dem turnout in NV was down by almost half.

      • Cecelia

        I must have a fever. You’re making some sense to me.

        • gc

          spent a life time telling car dealers they were doing it all wrong so i have had practice. of course, now, i am useless and just letting the clock run out.

          • Cecelia

            And taking care of a bevy of female relations from what I can tell.

          • gc

            Anielka had a boy!!!! first one since jeson, and he is 15.

          • Cecelia

            Congrats!

  • KirkG

    What is disappointing the most is FOX NEWS is picking sides and some are almost campaigning for Trump

    • gc

      there are a few people campaigning on every net. not news. not unique. Most of Fox is anti-trump fyi.

      • Fox News Fan

        Really? How many are openly anti-Trump? Most of those are not hosts but pundits. The only openly “hosts” against Trump on FNC are Dana & Greg.

        • gc

          and almost every pundit and i doubt kelly has much interest. btw, in my view being a “fox contributor” says more about fox than a host.

    • Marty

      Almost?

      • KirkG

        I think Gutfeld is very sceptical of Trump. The hard new folks are still playing down the middle except Shep but he is a liberal

        • Marty

          I agree about Gutfeld and the hard news people. Dana, too.
          I’m trying to remember back to the coverage of McCain and Romney. I just can’t remember the some of the aforementioned people openly shilling for either of them. Might have been subtle support. But there hasn’t been anyone like Trump and he really gets the juices flowing. I have curtailed much of my viewing. Trying out a few new venues.

          • KirkG

            I also have cut way back on my watching many show like Outnumbered, Andrea is all in for Trump after she was all over Paul and I have cut way back on watching what was one of my favorites the Five. I just can’t take Bowling although Gutfeld and to a lesser extent Dana try take jabs at him,
            If you can find good programs elsewhere let me know

          • gc

            WADR. you can disagree with them, but they are smart and get the best people on right now.

    • Fox News Fan

      Just because all of these people at FNC/FBN are all openly shilling for Trump on a daily basis… who has “picked sides”?? 😉

      Fox and Friends (Brian and Steve ..although Brian did stand up for GW),
      Out# (except Julie Roginsky)
      Cavuto
      The Five (Geraldo, Eric Bolling, Kimberly, Jesse Watters)
      Greta
      Bill O Reilly
      Sean Hannity

      FBN:
      Stuart Varney
      Cavuto
      Dobbs (who challenges Eric as the worst Trump suck up)

      There was a great “fight” last night on FBN beween Lou Dobbs (who couldn’t have been more Pro Trump) fighting with Gasparino, D Bolton and T Regan. Great fireworks.

      But how anyone at FNC or FBN supports Trump and his crazy policies of protectionism, Single Payer mandate, tax increases, the “wall” nonsense, FNC was pushing the idea years before that McCain was too much of a hot head/ loose cannon to be President. McCain is on ambient compared to Trump!

      • KirkG

        Home Run

  • gc

    Karl Rove: “I disagree with all due respect to Carl Cameron. As people dropout — if Jeb Bush were to drop out, his people are unlikely to go to Donald Trump. There might be a few of them, but the vast majority would go elsewhere. If John Kasich were to drop out — again, which of the 11 people who dropped has embraced Donald Trump and thrown themselves into his camp.”

    never knew he read this blog and stole ideas from here.

  • Larry Kelly

    I like election nights because it means my FOX favorites work together.

    I also like turtles.

  • gc

    Cruz’s father is the Lyman Beecher of our time. trying to get a rebirth of evangelicals gone by. young evangelicals will not put up with Trump, 60% disapproval among republicans, or Cruz anymore than they would put up with Jerry Falwell. those days are done. churches are full of young evangelicals, and they are not in the Cruz style at all.
    go back to January before Iowa when this was written and you can see the divide forming as Glenn Beck tries to do a Spock mind merge with Cruz. yeah, that will help Cruz win. NOT…. and there is an end to the stupids that Trump can troll for.

    https://www.yahoo.com/politics/rubio-s-evangelical-appeal-stronger-1342653440983094.html

    • Cecelia

      Good article.

      • gc

        business is all about share. pushing some away to attract others is a tricky biz as we often forget the reverse. attracting some pushes others away. you need more than ten fingers and ten toes to calculate the net result of your actions. a good example is businesses that advertise their Christianity. count carefully and use mini max calculus because when you do that you build a ceiling in your possible share.

        • Cecelia

          That particular analogy for the sort of physics you’re describing is singularly acute now.

          • gc

            i knew i typed it for some kinda reason. ty.:)

    • carolr527

      Funny that Ted Cruz is Cuban, Italian, and Irish and NOT Catholic.

      • gc

        ironic, but as i live in Latin America, i can assure you he is not alone. we got em all down here.

  • carolr527

    Heidi Przybyla from USA Today has been on MediaBuzz twice now and she’s very good.

  • gc
    • Marty

      Charlie Hurt is pro Trump.

      • gc

        charlie hurt is a smart whack. he likes what is happening because it is fun to cover. i am quite sure he would not leave Donald at his house for the weekend to watch the kids.

  • This weekend’s most popular links:
    5 funeral
    4 talkers
    3 Fox News
    2 resurfaces
    And the most popular link in this weekend’s links…
    1 Concha: Long-form interviews are the latest cable news ‘thing’.

  • Larry Kelly

    Charles Bierbauer… Wow, just entered the Time Tunnel!

  • Larry Kelly

    H&R Concha with the 1040 Long-form.

  • Larry Kelly

    Juan’s a sentimental softy. Nice to have a few around.